Moraña vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
55.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CUN
3 - 0
MOR
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
LGU
16%
20%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOR
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAM
53%
21%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 1
MOR
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
5 - 2
AMA
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 3
CAS
40%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
35%
24%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 1
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CUN
0 - 0
CAS
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |