Moralo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ALM
3 - 0
MOR
65%
22%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
MOR
1 - 2
BET
40%
27%
34%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
XER
3 - 1
MOR
65%
22%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MOR
2 - 2
AGD
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
MOT
2 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
RJA
3 - 0
ICR
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
POL
3 - 1
RJA
39%
30%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
RJA
0 - 2
SEV
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
37%
31%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
RJA
0 - 1
CAD
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |