Moralo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BAD
1 - 2
MOR
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CDG
1 - 0
MOR
52%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 2
TRU
70%
19%
12%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MIA
2 - 1
MOR
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 2
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
PLA
39%
26%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 0
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
JER
37%
26%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARR
0 - 2
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |