Moralo vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 1
MOR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAL
89%
9%
3%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 2
MOR
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
CAL
79%
13%
7%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
MOR
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
1 - 0
ARR
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
6 - 3
ADL
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
0 - 1
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
4 - 1
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 0
ADL
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |