Moralo B vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CPA
2 - 1
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 3
CPT
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CDC
1 - 2
MOR
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 5
CDC
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ADV
2 - 1
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CPA
2 - 3
CPM
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CFJ
1 - 1
CPA
29%
24%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CPA
2 - 1
ARR
41%
24%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDD
2 - 1
CPA
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CPA
2 - 0
CHI
34%
23%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |