Morales Vino vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
55%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morales Vino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BVD
3 - 1
MOR
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
COR
7%
13%
81%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
6 - 3
MOR
83%
11%
7%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
CDN
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 3
RCB
5%
10%
85%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDN
4 - 3
FRE
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
IVL
63%
17%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
BVD
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COR
3 - 1
FRE
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 2
MOR
16%
17%
67%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |