1ª Regional Extremadura Semi-finals
Global 4-7
Moraleja vs UD Fuente de Cantos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDN
1 - 0
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 2
CDN
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 0
VAL
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
MOR
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAL
3 - 2
MOR
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fuente de Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
UDF
3 - 0
HER
45%
25%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
UDF
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UDF
4 - 0
GIM
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
UDF
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 2
UDF
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |