Moraleja vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
MOR
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARR
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ADV
0 - 1
MOR
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
CPA
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DIO
0 - 0
MOR
64%
19%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 1
SNV
13%
20%
67%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
5 - 0
TRU
77%
16%
7%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 2
MAL
22%
24%
54%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TRU
3 - 2
AMA
41%
24%
35%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
TRU
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |