Moraleja vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
MOR
28%
23%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
GAR
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 2
MOR
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CPC
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
MOR
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 3
PLA
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 1
ORE
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 1
TAL
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 0
AMA
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
ORE
24%
24%
53%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |