Moraleja vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 1
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
TAL
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MAL
5 - 0
MOR
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 2
GIM
22%
22%
56%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
AMA
2 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
5 - 1
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 0
ORE
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
2 - 2
ZUR
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAC
2 - 1
ORE
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 4
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |