Moraleja vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 0
MOR
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
BRO
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ARR
4 - 1
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 2
HER
31%
24%
46%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
COR
3 - 0
MOR
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
8%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
TRU
0 - 2
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
ZUR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 2
MON
52%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |