Moraleja vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 2
MOR
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
TAL
56%
21%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CRS
0 - 0
MOR
21%
20%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
CHI
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CFJ
1 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 0
MON
11%
19%
70%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CIU
2 - 1
MAL
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 1
AMA
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PIO
2 - 0
MAL
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 3
MAL
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |