Moraleja vs AD Valdefuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TAL
3 - 1
MOR
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 5
MON
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 2
MOR
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
PIO
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
5 - 4
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AD Valdefuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ADV
3 - 1
MAL
49%
23%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 1
ADV
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ADV
2 - 3
TRU
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MIA
3 - 1
ADV
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ADV
3 - 2
CIU
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |