Moraleja CF vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAM
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
GCE
24%
21%
56%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 5
MOR
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
FRE
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BOV
2 - 2
MOR
69%
16%
15%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 5
VIL
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IZA
1 - 2
SAN
27%
20%
54%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
5 - 1
SPO
61%
18%
21%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
5 - 1
SAN
41%
21%
39%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 6
RCB
56%
19%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |