Moraleja CF vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BVD
0 - 5
MOR
8%
13%
80%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
COR
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IVL
0 - 11
MOR
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
0 - 2
MOR
27%
21%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 4
CDN
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
FRE
55%
20%
25%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 5
CAM
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
FRE
54%
19%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 4
RCB
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |