Moraleja CF vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BOV
2 - 2
MOR
69%
16%
15%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
SAN
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAC
0 - 0
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
MOR
24%
20%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 2
VIL
43%
21%
36%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 1
VIL
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IZA
1 - 2
FRE
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
SPO
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
FRE
31%
21%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
4 - 2
RCB
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |