Mora B vs Recas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mora B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
RVS
1 - 1
MOR
53%
22%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
VSJ
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SCR
3 - 1
MOR
41%
23%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 2
SAG
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ESQ
0 - 1
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
REC
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REC
3 - 0
RVS
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
REC
6 - 1
MEN
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VSJ
0 - 4
REC
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
REC
9 - 1
CBA
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |