Montuiri vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montuiri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PXD
3 - 1
MNU
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MNU
2 - 1
PCE
48%
26%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SDF
2 - 0
MNU
65%
22%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MNU
1 - 2
SLL
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MNC
1 - 2
MNU
38%
26%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 4
FER
41%
25%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
UDA
3 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CFP
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
CON
19%
25%
57%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |