GOAL FC vs Vierzon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
3º
1º
23
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
78% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
YZE
1 - 3
MOA
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOA
0 - 0
BER
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MOA
0 - 1
CHA
66%
20%
13%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 0
MOA
29%
27%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MOA
5 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vierzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIE
0 - 1
CHA
26%
28%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 2
VIE
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VIE
0 - 2
TRE
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 0
VIE
66%
21%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 1
BOU
21%
25%
55%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |