GOAL FC vs Sud Nivernais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AND
0 - 1
MOA
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MOA
3 - 2
SAI
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 0
MOA
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 0
MOA
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MOA
3 - 0
COU
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sud Nivernais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
CLE
24%
26%
51%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
COU
3 - 1
SUD
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SUD
4 - 2
ASO
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BEA
1 - 1
SUD
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 2
NFC
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |