GOAL FC vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOA
2 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
3 - 1
MOA
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MOA
6 - 1
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AND
1 - 1
MOA
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOA
2 - 1
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ANN
2 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOA
2 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
0 - 2
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 1
MGG
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |