GOAL FC vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
3 - 1
MOA
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MOA
6 - 1
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AND
1 - 1
MOA
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOA
2 - 1
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
AUB
2 - 1
MOA
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
0 - 2
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 1
MGG
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAI
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
SPO
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |