GOAL FC vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
FCM
0 - 0
MOA
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MOA
0 - 0
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 2
MOA
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MOA
1 - 2
SAI
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
MOA
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
NIC
0 - 3
MON
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
JUR
1 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 2
HYE
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ANN
5 - 2
NIC
74%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FCM
1 - 2
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |