GOAL FC vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
OLY
5 - 2
MOA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MOA
3 - 2
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AUX
1 - 1
MOA
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MOA
0 - 1
SAI
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MOA
0 - 1
LPV
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
ETG
4 - 1
NÎM
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
ETG
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 2
ETG
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 1
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
STL
2 - 1
ETG
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |