GOAL FC vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MOA
1 - 1
BER
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TAR
2 - 2
MOA
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MOA
0 - 0
BLA
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 2
MOA
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MOA
2 - 0
NIO
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
COG
4 - 3
BLA
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
COG
2 - 1
CUG
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
BER
5 - 4
COG
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
TAR
6 - 1
COG
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 0
COG
81%
14%
6%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |