Montpellier U19 vs Gazélec Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
5º
4º
38
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ETI
4 - 4
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
ROD
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
40%
23%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
OLY
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
5 - 2
ABE
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
ETI
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MGG
2 - 1
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
MON
28%
21%
50%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 1
AJA
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |