Montpellier U19 vs Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
41
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
84% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 2
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ETI
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 0
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
4 - 0
BLA
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
MON
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 0
AJA
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AJA
6 - 0
BLA
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
IST
1 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
TOU
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |