Montpellier II vs Sud FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+2560%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
10º
26
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ESF
1 - 1
MON
42%
23%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
SCR
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
OLY
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Sud FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 3
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SCR
1 - 1
SFC
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
VIL
27%
22%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
SFC
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 2
LUC
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +1 |