Montilla CF vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
JER
3 - 0
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MON
0 - 0
CCF
39%
28%
33%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 0
MON
59%
24%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SFE
4 - 0
CCF
58%
24%
19%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
SFE
39%
28%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SFE
8 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AGU
4 - 2
SFE
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 1
SOL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |