UD Montijo vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
CPL
1 - 1
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
9%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 1
MON
70%
20%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
MON
3 - 0
CRE
24%
25%
52%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +5 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
ARR
2 - 7
DBN
11%
19%
70%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
BAD
3 - 2
ARR
73%
18%
9%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ARR
0 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
EXT
5 - 1
ARR
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ARR
3 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |