Montija vs Frias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BEL
5 - 0
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
ALC
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 6
MON
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 3
FEL
22%
19%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 6
CDR
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FRI
2 - 5
GRO
33%
22%
46%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CER
2 - 2
FRI
37%
21%
43%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FRI
2 - 2
BEL
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ALC
5 - 2
FRI
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FRI
1 - 4
FEL
30%
21%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |