Montija vs Frias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 0
MON
55%
21%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
BUR
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 2
MON
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
BEB
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
ALB
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FRI
0 - 2
ALC
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FRI
1 - 4
CDR
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BUR
5 - 2
FRI
87%
9%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FRI
3 - 0
CER
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
INT
5 - 3
FRI
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |