Montija vs Frias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 0
MON
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
CDR
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
8 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
MON
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
ALF
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FRI
2 - 5
UNI
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
5 - 0
FRI
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FRI
1 - 5
ALB
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRI
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FRI
0 - 2
VIL
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |