Montija vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 2
MON
62%
19%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ONA
2 - 1
MON
52%
22%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MON
0 - 3
ALC
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MON
0 - 5
VIL
11%
17%
73%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
CAP
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
5 - 1
FRI
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAP
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 0
BUR
28%
22%
50%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 0
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |