Monticelli vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
REC
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
FVE
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 0
MON
37%
23%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIS
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
SSS
9%
15%
76%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
CAM
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
SSS
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |