Montfermeil U19 vs Valenciennes U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
14º
9º
34
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PSG
2 - 0
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
HAV
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 1
MON
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
QUE
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
OLM
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DKQ
3 - 0
VAL
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 4
CAE
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
VAL
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
LIL
25%
22%
54%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |