Montfermeil U19 vs USM Saran U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
4º
33
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 4
MON
28%
22%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
GON
86%
9%
4%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
4 - 1
MON
39%
22%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MON
4 - 0
LIL
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AMI
2 - 2
MON
48%
22%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SRA
0 - 3
DKQ
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
4 - 5
SRA
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 3
SRA
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SRA
2 - 0
CAE
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SRA
1 - 1
HAV
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |