Montfermeil U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
14º
9º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 0
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
MON
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
VAL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PSG
2 - 0
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 0
OLM
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
DKQ
1 - 0
CAE
30%
22%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
CAE
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 0
ORL
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 3
CAE
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |