Montfermeil U19 vs Amiens SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
14º
9º
47
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
OLM
1 - 3
MON
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
DKQ
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
ORL
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amiens SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
AMI
8 - 0
OLM
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DKQ
4 - 4
AMI
31%
24%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AMI
2 - 3
CAE
40%
25%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ORL
2 - 1
AMI
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AMI
2 - 2
LIL
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |