Montfermeil U19 vs Amiens SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
47%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
8º
44
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
HAV
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PSG
3 - 1
MON
75%
14%
12%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Amiens SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AMI
6 - 0
SRA
82%
11%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 1
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 1
PSG
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 1
LEN
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |