Montevideo Wanderers vs Montevideo City Torque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
16º
15º
21
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 0
MWA
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 1
LUZ
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 1
MWA
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 3
MWA
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
FEN
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 1
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 3
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |