Montevideo Wanderers vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 1
MWA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ETS
1 - 3
MWA
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MWA
3 - 1
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 3
MWA
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 1
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 3
LFC
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 1
DAN
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |