Montevideo Wanderers vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MWA
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
OHI
0 - 0
MWA
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
OHI
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DAN
1 - 4
MWA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
ETS
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
RIV
31%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |