Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 0
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 2
RIV
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
LFC
2 - 1
MWA
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 0
CSC
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
MWA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
BOS
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 1
PRO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
2 - 4
PRO
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |