Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
DEF
4 - 0
MWA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MWA
0 - 2
BVS
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
4 - 1
MWA
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MWA
1 - 0
CER
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LFC
1 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CER
1 - 0
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 4
LFC
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 3
RIV
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
BVS
1 - 3
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
DEF
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |