Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CSC
2 - 0
MWA
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
MWA
3 - 1
BVS
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 4
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
MWA
2 - 0
DAN
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 0
MWA
40%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 4
PRO
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 2
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 1
LFC
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |