Montevideo Wanderers vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 1
SUD
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 0
BOS
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 0
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 0
MWA
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 1
PLA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 3
CER
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 0
PEÑ
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DAN
3 - 0
PLA
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |