Montevideo Wanderers vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 0
MWA
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
MWA
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 2
MWA
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 2
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |