Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
3º
3º
14
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
CEL
0 - 0
MWA
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MWA
1 - 1
PLA
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MWA
1 - 0
RIV
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
RIV
0 - 1
MWA
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
DEF
4 - 2
LFC
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
DEF
3 - 2
CEL
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |