Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
PRO
40%
25%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 2
CER
61%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 0
MWA
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 1
DAN
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 3
MWA
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 4
PRO
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
3 - 2
DEF
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |